Housing Recovery Phase?
By Bob on Sep 11, 2009 in Investing in Real Estate
Robert Mellmann, senior ecconomist for J P Morgan published an article, “The US Housing Market is Finally in a Recovery Phase“.
In the article he points to several areas where his research points to a beginning phase of recovering from our 3 year plunge in the housing market. The data is a bit mixed, but at least we have some good data to consider going forward. I’m not one for rose colored glasses. However, I did live through the dark housing days of the 1980’s when there seemed to be no end in sight. Back then I can’t say I ever ‘felt’ a recovery. That’s because recovery is a slow process. Our housing market has taken a 32% hit nationally and the damage inflicted will take years to heal. The important point of the article is not that we have healed , but that the downward cycle is hitting bottom.
In my opinion, we will continue to see a ‘buyers market’ for many months to come. A plunge of 32% is a historic event we are unlikely to see in again in our lifetime. If you are a potential buyer you also have an opportunity to buy real estate with historically low interest rates. And according to Mellman’s data we now have bottom of this vicious cycle.

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